Other
Estrogen-Alone Therapy
Endometrial Cancer
There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens. Adding a progestin to estrogen therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of endometrial hyperplasia, which may be a precursor to endometrial cancer. Adequate diagnostic measures, including directed or random endometrial sampling when indicated, should be undertaken to rule out malignancy in postmenopausal women with undiagnosed persistent or recurring abnormal genital bleeding [see Warnings and Precautions (5.2)].
Cardiovascular Disorders and Probable Dementia
Estrogen-alone therapy should not be used for the prevention of cardiovascular disease or dementia [see Warnings and Precautions (5.1, 5.3), and Clinical Studies (14.5, 14.6)].
The Women's Health Initiative (WHI) estrogen-alone substudy reported increased risks of stroke and deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in postmenopausal women (50 to 79 years of age) during 7.1 years of treatment with daily oral conjugated estrogens (CE) (0.625 mg)‑alone, relative to placebo [see Warnings and Precautions (5.1), and Clinical Studies (14.5)].
The WHI Memory Study (WHIMS) estrogen-alone ancillary study of WHI reported an increased risk of developing probable dementia in postmenopausal women 65 years of age or older during 5.2 years of treatment with daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone, relative to placebo. It is unknown whether this finding applies to younger postmenopausal women [see Warnings and Precautions (5.3), Use in Specific Populations (8.5), and Clinical Studies (14.6)].
In the absence of comparable data, these risks should be assumed to be similar for other doses of CE and other dosage forms of estrogens.
Estrogens with or without progestins should be prescribed at the lowest effective doses and for the shortest duration consistent with treatment goals and risks for the individual woman.
Estrogen Plus Progestin Therapy
Cardiovascular Disorders and Probable Dementia
Estrogen plus progestin therapy should not be used for the prevention of cardiovascular disease or dementia [see Warnings and Precautions (5.1, 5.3), and Clinical Studies (14.5, 14.6)].
The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy reported increased risks of DVT, pulmonary embolism (PE), stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) in postmenopausal women (50 to 79 years of age) during 5.6 years of treatment with daily oral CE (0.625 mg) combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) [2.5 mg], relative to placebo [see Warnings and Precautions (5.1), and Clinical Studies (14.5)].
The WHIMS estrogen plus progestin ancillary study of the WHI, reported an increased risk of developing probable dementia in postmenopausal women 65 years of age or older during 4 years of treatment with daily CE (0.625 mg) combined with MPA (2.5 mg), relative to placebo. It is unknown whether this finding applies to younger postmenopausal women [see Warnings and Precautions (5.3), Use in Specific Populations (8.5), and Clinical Studies (14.6)].
Breast Cancer
The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy also demonstrated an increased risk of invasive breast cancer [see Warnings and Precautions (5.2), and Clinical Studies (14.5)].
In the absence of comparable data, these risks should be assumed to be similar for other doses of CE and MPA, and other combinations and dosage forms of estrogens and progestins.
Estrogens with or without progestins should be prescribed at the lowest effective doses and for the shortest duration consistent with treatment goals and risks for the individual woman.
Limitations of Use
When prescribing solely for the treatment of moderate to severe symptoms of vulvar and vaginal atrophy due to menopause, topical vaginal products should be considered.
Limitations of Use
When prescribing solely for the prevention of postmenopausal osteoporosis, therapy should only be considered for women at significant risk of osteoporosis and non-estrogen medication should be carefully considered.
Stroke
In the WHI estrogen-alone substudy, a statistically significant increased risk of stroke was reported in women 50 to 79 years of age receiving daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone compared to women in the same age group receiving placebo (45 versus 33 per 10,000 women-years). The increase in risk was demonstrated in Year 1 and persisted [see Clinical Studies (14.5)]. Should a stroke occur or be suspected, estrogen-alone therapy should be discontinued immediately.
Subgroup analyses of women 50 to 59 years of age suggest no increased risk of stroke for those women receiving CE (0.625 mg)-alone versus those receiving placebo (18 versus 21 per 10,000 women-years).1
In the WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy, a statistically significant increased risk of stroke was reported in women 50 to 79 years of age receiving daily CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) compared to women in the same age group receiving placebo (33 versus 25 per 10,000 women-years) [see Clinical Studies (14.5)]. The increase in risk was demonstrated after the first year and persisted.1 Should a stroke occur or be suspected, estrogen plus progestin therapy should be discontinued immediately.
Coronary Heart Disease
In the WHI estrogen-alone substudy, no overall effect on coronary heart disease (CHD) events (defined as nonfatal MI, silent MI, or CHD death) was reported in women receiving estrogen-alone compared to placebo2 [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
Subgroup analyses of women 50 to 59 years of age suggest a statistically non-significant reduction in CHD events (CE [0.625 mg]-alone compared to placebo) in women with less than 10 years since menopause (8 versus 16 per 10,000 women-years).1
In the WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy, there was a statistically non-significant increased risk of CHD events reported in women receiving daily CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) compared to women receiving placebo (41 versus 34 per 10,000 women-years).1 An increase in relative risk was demonstrated in Year 1, and a trend toward decreasing relative risk was reported in years 2 through 5 [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
In postmenopausal women with documented heart disease (n = 2,763, average 66.7 years of age), in a controlled clinical trial of secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study; HERS), treatment with daily CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) demonstrated no cardiovascular benefit. During an average follow-up of 4.1 years, treatment with CE plus MPA did not reduce the overall rate of CHD events in postmenopausal women with established CHD. There were more CHD events in the CE plus MPA‑treated group than in the placebo group in Year 1, but not during the subsequent years. Two thousand, three hundred and twenty-one (2,321) women from the original HERS trial agreed to participate in an open label extension of HERS, HERS II. Average follow-up in HERS II was an additional 2.7 years, for a total of 6.8 years overall. Rates of CHD events were comparable among women in the CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) group and the placebo group in HERS, HERS II, and overall.
Venous Thromboembolism (VTE)
In the WHI estrogen-alone substudy, the risk of VTE (DVT and PE), was increased for women receiving daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone compared to placebo (30 versus 22 per 10,000 women-years), although only the increased risk of DVT reached statistical significance (23 versus 15 per 10,000 women-years). The increase in VTE risk was demonstrated during the first 2 years3 [see Clinical Studies (14.5)]. Should a VTE occur or be suspected, estrogen-alone therapy should be discontinued immediately.
In the WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy, a statistically significant 2-fold greater rate of VTE was reported in women receiving daily CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) compared to women receiving placebo (35 versus 17 per 10,000 women-years). Statistically significant increases in risk for both DVT (26 versus 13 per 10,000 women-years) and PE (18 versus 8 per 10,000 women-years) were also demonstrated. The increase in VTE risk was demonstrated during the first year and persisted4 [see Clinical Studies (14.5)]. Should a VTE occur or be suspected, estrogen plus progestin therapy should be discontinued immediately.
If feasible, estrogens should be discontinued at least 4 to 6 weeks before surgery of the type associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism, or during periods of prolonged immobilization.
Endometrial Cancer
An increased risk of endometrial cancer has been reported with the use of unopposed estrogen therapy in a woman with a uterus. The reported endometrial cancer risk among unopposed estrogen users is about 2 to 12 times greater than in non-users, and appears dependent on duration of treatment and on estrogen dose. Most studies show no significant increased risk associated with use of estrogens for less than 1 year. The greatest risk appears to be associated with prolonged use, with increased risks of 15- to 24-fold for 5 to 10 years or more, and this risk has been shown to persist for at least 8 to 15 years after estrogen therapy is discontinued.
Clinical surveillance of all women using estrogen-alone or estrogen plus progestin therapy is important.
Adequate diagnostic measures, including directed or random endometrial sampling when indicated, should be undertaken to rule out malignancy in postmenopausal women with undiagnosed persistent or recurring abnormal genital bleeding. There is no evidence that the use of natural estrogens results in a different endometrial risk profile than synthetic estrogens of equivalent estrogen dose. Adding a progestin to postmenopausal estrogen therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of endometrial hyperplasia, which may be a precursor to endometrial cancer.
Breast Cancer
The WHI substudy of daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone provided information about breast cancer in estrogen-alone users. In the WHI estrogen-alone substudy, after an average follow-up of 7.1 years, daily CE (0.625 mg)-alone was not associated with an increased risk of invasive breast cancer [relative risk (RR) 0.80]5 [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
After a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, the estrogen plus progestin substudy reported an increased risk of invasive breast cancer in women who took daily CE plus MPA. In this substudy, prior use of estrogen-alone or estrogen plus progestin therapy was reported by 26% of the women. The relative risk of invasive breast cancer was 1.24, and the absolute risk was 41 versus 33 cases per 10,000 women-years, for CE plus MPA compared with placebo.6
Among women who reported prior use of hormone therapy, the relative risk of invasive breast cancer was 1.86, and the absolute risk was 46 versus 25 cases per 10,000 women-years for CE plus MPA compared with placebo. Among women who reported no prior use of hormone therapy, the relative risk of invasive breast cancer was 1.09, and the absolute risk was 40 versus 36 cases per 10,000 women-years for CE plus MPA compared with placebo. In the same substudy, invasive breast cancers were larger, were more likely to be node positive, and were diagnosed at a more advanced stage in the CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) group compared with the placebo group. Metastatic disease was rare, with no apparent difference between the two groups. Other prognostic factors, such as histologic subtype, grade and hormone receptor status did not differ between the groups [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
Consistent with the WHI clinical trials, observational studies have also reported an increased risk of breast cancer for estrogen plus progestin therapy, and a smaller increased risk for estrogen-alone therapy, after several years of use. One large meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies reported increased risks that were dependent upon duration of use and could last up to >10 years after discontinuation of estrogen plus progestin therapy and estrogen‑alone therapy. Extension of the WHI trials also demonstrated increased breast cancer risk associated with estrogen plus progestin therapy. Observational studies also suggest that the risk of breast cancer was greater, and became apparent earlier, with estrogen plus progestin therapy as compared to estrogen-alone therapy. However, these studies have not found significant variation in the risk of breast cancer among different estrogen plus progestin combinations, doses, or routes of administration.
The use of estrogen-alone and estrogen plus progestin has been reported to result in an increase in abnormal mammograms, requiring further evaluation.
All women should receive yearly breast examinations by a healthcare provider and perform monthly breast self‑examinations. In addition, mammography examinations should be scheduled based on patient age, risk factors, and prior mammogram results.
Ovarian Cancer
The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy reported a statistically non-significant increased risk of ovarian cancer. After an average follow-up of 5.6 years, the relative risk for ovarian cancer for CE plus MPA versus placebo was 1.58 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77–3.24). The absolute risk for CE plus MPA versus placebo was 4 versus 3 cases per 10,000 women-years.7
A meta-analysis of 17 prospective and 35 retrospective epidemiology studies found that women who used hormonal therapy for menopausal symptoms had an increased risk for ovarian cancer. The primary analysis, using case-control comparisons, included 12,110 cancer cases from the 17 prospective studies. The relative risks associated with current use of hormonal therapy was 1.41 (95% CI 1.32 to 1.50); there was no difference in the risk estimates by duration of the exposure (less than 5 years [median of 3 years] vs. greater than 5 years [median of 10 years] of use before the cancer diagnosis). The relative risk associated with combined current and recent use (discontinued use within 5 years before cancer diagnosis) was 1.37 (95% CI 1.27–1.48), and the elevated risk was significant for both estrogen-alone and estrogen plus progestin products. The exact duration of hormone therapy use associated with an increased risk of ovarian cancer, however, is unknown.
Genitourinary system
Abnormal uterine bleeding; dysmenorrheal or pelvic pain, increase in size of uterine leiomyomata, vaginitis, including vaginal candidiasis, change in cervical secretion, ovarian cancer, endometrial hyperplasia, endometrial cancer, leukorrhea.
Breasts
Tenderness, enlargement, pain, discharge, galactorrhea, fibrocystic breast changes, breast cancer, gynecomastia in males.
Cardiovascular
Deep and superficial venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, thrombophlebitis, myocardial infarction, stroke, increase in blood pressure.
Gastrointestinal
Nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain, bloating, cholestatic jaundice, increased incidence of gallbladder disease, pancreatitis, enlargement of hepatic hemangiomas, ischemic colitis.
Skin
Chloasma or melasma that may persist when drug is discontinued, erythema multiforme, erythema nodosum, loss of scalp hair, hirsutism, pruritus, rash.
Eyes
Retinal vascular thrombosis, intolerance to contact lenses.
Central nervous system
Headache, migraine, dizziness , mental depression, nervousness, mood disturbances, irritability, exacerbation of epilepsy, dementia, possible growth potentiation of benign meningioma.
Miscellaneous
Increase or decrease in weight, glucose intolerance, aggravation of porphyria, edema, arthralgias, leg cramps, changes in libido, urticaria, exacerbation of asthma, increased triglycerides, hypersensitivity.
The Women's Health Initiative Study
In the WHI estrogen-alone substudy (daily CE 0.625 mg-alone versus placebo), there was a higher relative risk of stroke in women greater than 65 years of age [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
In the WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy (daily CE [0.625 mg] plus MPA [2.5 mg] versus placebo), there was a higher relative risk of nonfatal stroke and invasive breast cancer in women greater than 65 years of age [see Clinical Studies (14.5)].
The Women's Health Initiative Memory Study
In the WHIMS ancillary studies of postmenopausal women 65 to 79 years of age, there was an increased risk of developing probable dementia in women receiving estrogen-alone or estrogen plus progestin when compared to placebo [see Warnings and Precautions (5.3), and Clinical Studies (14.6)].
Since both ancillary studies were conducted in women 65 to 79 years of age, it is unknown whether these findings apply to younger postmenopausal women8 [see Warnings and Precautions (5.3), and Clinical Studies (14.6)].
Absorption
Conjugated estrogens are water-soluble and are absorbed from the gastrointestinal tract after release from the drug formulation. The Conjugated Estrogens Tablets release CE slowly over several hours. Table 2 summarizes the mean pharmacokinetic parameters for unconjugated and CE following administration of 1 × 0.625 mg and 1 × 1.25 mg tablets to healthy postmenopausal women.
Food effect: The pharmacokinetics of Conjugated Estrogens Tablets 0.45 mg and 1.25 mg tablets were assessed following a single dose with a high-fat breakfast and with fasting administration. The Cmax and AUC of estrogens were altered approximately 3–13%. The changes to Cmax and AUC are not considered clinically meaningful, therefore Conjugated Estrogens Tablets may be taken without regard to meals.
Pharmacokinetic Profile of Unconjugated Estrogens Following a Dose of 1 × 0.625 mg | ||||
PK Parameter Arithmetic Mean (%CV) | Cmax (pg/mL) | tmax (h) | t1/2 (h) | AUC (pg∙h/mL) |
Estrone | 87 (33) | 9.6 (33) | 50.7 (35) | 5557 (59) |
Baseline-adjusted estrone | 64 (42) | 9.6 (33) | 20.2 (40) | 1723 (52) |
Equilin | 31 (38) | 7.9 (32) | 12.9 (112) | 602 (54) |
Pharmacokinetic Profile of CE Following a Dose of 1 × 0.625 mg | ||||
PK Parameter Arithmetic Mean (%CV) | Cmax (ng/mL) | tmax (h) | t1/2 (h) | AUC (ng∙h/mL) |
Total Estrone | 2.7 (43) | 6.9 (25) | 26.7 (33) | 75 (52) |
Baseline-adjusted total estrone | 2.5 (45) | 6.9 (25) | 14.8 (35) | 46 (48) |
Total Equilin | 1.8 (56) | 5.6 (45) | 11.4 (31) | 27 (56) |
Pharmacokinetic Profile of Unconjugated Estrogens Following a Dose of 1 × 1.25 mg | ||||
PK Parameter Arithmetic Mean (%CV) | Cmax (pg/mL) | tmax (h) | t1/2 (h) | AUC (pg∙h/mL) |
Estrone | 124 (30) | 10.0 (32) | 38.1 (37) | 6332 (44) |
Baseline-adjusted estrone | 102 (35) | 10.0 (32) | 19.7 (48) | 3159 (53) |
Equilin | 59 (43) | 8.8 (36) | 10.9 (47) | 1182 (42) |
Pharmacokinetic Profile of CE Following a Dose of 1 × 1.25 mg | ||||
PK Parameter Arithmetic Mean (%CV) | Cmax (ng/mL) | tmax (h) | t1/2 (h) | AUC (ng∙h/mL) |
Total Estrone | 4.5 (39) | 8.2 (58) | 26.5 (40) | 109 (46) |
Baseline-adjusted total estrone | 4.3 (41) | 8.2 (58) | 17.5 (41) | 87 (44) |
Total equilin | 2.9 (42) | 6.8 (49) | 12.5 (34) | 48 (51) |
Distribution
The distribution of exogenous estrogens is similar to that of endogenous estrogens. Estrogens are widely distributed in the body and are generally found in higher concentration in the sex hormone target organs. Estrogens circulate in the blood largely bound to SHBG and albumin.
Metabolism
Exogenous estrogens are metabolized in the same manner as endogenous estrogens. Circulating estrogens exist in a dynamic equilibrium of metabolic interconversions. These transformations take place mainly in the liver. Estradiol is converted reversibly to estrone, and both can be converted to estriol, which is a major urinary metabolite. Estrogens also undergo enterohepatic recirculation via sulfate and glucuronide conjugation in the liver, biliary secretion of conjugates into the intestine, and hydrolysis in the intestine followed by reabsorption. In postmenopausal women, a significant proportion of the circulating estrogens exist as sulfate conjugates, especially estrone sulfate, which serves as a circulating reservoir for the formation of more active estrogens.
Excretion
Estradiol, estrone, and estriol are excreted in the urine, along with glucuronide and sulfate conjugates.
Use in Specific Populations
No pharmacokinetic studies were conducted with Conjugated Estrogens Tablets in specific populations, including patients with renal or hepatic impairment.
Health and Osteoporosis, Progestin and Estrogen (HOPE) Study
The HOPE study was a double-blind, randomized, placebo/active-drug-controlled, multicenter study of healthy postmenopausal women with an intact uterus. Subjects (mean age 53.3 ± 4.9 years) were 2.3 ± 0.9 years on average since menopause and took one 600 mg tablet of elemental calcium (Caltrate™) daily.
Subjects were not given Vitamin D supplements. They were treated with Conjugated Estrogens Tablets 0.625 mg, 0.45 mg, 0.3 mg, or placebo. Prevention of bone loss was assessed by measurement of bone mineral density (BMD), primarily at the anteroposterior lumbar spine (L2 to L4). Secondarily, BMD measurements of the total body, femoral neck, and trochanter were also analyzed. Serum osteocalcin, urinary calcium, and N-telopeptide were used as bone turnover markers (BTM) at cycles 6, 13, 19, and 26.
Intent-to-treat subjects
All active treatment groups showed significant differences from placebo in each of the four BMD endpoints at cycles 6, 13, 19, and 26. The mean percent increases in the primary efficacy measure (L2 to L4 BMD) at the final on-therapy evaluation (cycle 26 for those who completed and the last available evaluation for those who discontinued early) were 2.46% with 0.625 mg, 2.26% with 0.45 mg, and 1.13% with 0.3 mg. The placebo group showed a mean percent decrease from baseline at the final evaluation of 2.45%. These results show that the lower dosages of Conjugated Estrogens Tablets were effective in increasing L2 to L4 BMD compared with placebo, and therefore support the efficacy of the lower doses.
The analysis for the other three BMD endpoints yielded mean percent changes from baseline in femoral trochanter that were generally larger than those seen for L2 to L4, and changes in femoral neck and total body that were generally smaller than those seen for L2 to L4. Significant differences between groups indicated that each of the Conjugated Estrogens Tablets treatments were more effective than placebo for all three of these additional BMD endpoints. With regard to femoral neck and total body, the active treatment groups all showed mean percent increases in BMD, while placebo treatment was accompanied by mean percent decreases. For femoral trochanter, each of the Conjugated Estrogens Tablets dose groups showed a mean percent increase that was significantly greater than the small increase seen in the placebo group. The percent changes from baseline to final evaluation are shown in Table 4.
Region Evaluated Treatment Group Identified by dosage (mg) of Conjugated Estrogens Tablets or placebo. | No. of Subjects | Baseline (g/cm2) Mean ± SD | Change from Baseline (%) Adjusted Mean ± SE | p-Value vs. Placebo |
L2 to L4 BMD | ||||
0.625 | 83 | 1.17 ± 0.15 | 2.46 ± 0.37 | <0.001 |
0.45 | 91 | 1.13 ± 0.15 | 2.26 ± 0.35 | <0.001 |
0.3 | 87 | 1.14 ± 0.15 | 1.13 ± 0.36 | <0.001 |
Placebo | 85 | 1.14 ± 0.14 | -2.45 ± 0.36 | |
Total Body BMD | ||||
0.625 | 84 | 1.15 ± 0.08 | 0.68 ± 0.17 | <0.001 |
0.45 | 91 | 1.14 ± 0.08 | 0.74 ± 0.16 | <0.001 |
0.3 | 87 | 1.14 ± 0.07 | 0.40 ± 0.17 | <0.001 |
Placebo | 85 | 1.13 ± 0.08 | -1.50 ± 0.17 | |
Femoral Neck BMD | ||||
0.625 | 84 | 0.91 ± 0.14 | 1.82 ± 0.45 | <0.001 |
0.45 | 91 | 0.89 ± 0.13 | 1.84 ± 0.44 | <0.001 |
0.3 | 87 | 0.86 ± 0.11 | 0.62 ± 0.45 | <0.001 |
Placebo | 85 | 0.88 ± 0.14 | -1.72 ± 0.45 | |
Femoral Trochanter BMD | ||||
0.625 | 84 | 0.78 ± 0.13 | 3.82 ± 0.58 | <0.001 |
0.45 | 91 | 0.76 ± 0.12 | 3.16 ± 0.56 | 0.003 |
0.3 | 87 | 0.75 ± 0.10 | 3.05 ± 0.57 | 0.005 |
Placebo | 85 | 0.75 ± 0.12 | 0.81 ± 0.58 |
Figure 1 shows the cumulative percentage of subjects with changes from baseline equal to or greater than the value shown on the x-axis.
Figure 1. Cumulative Percent of Subjects With Changes From Baseline in Spine BMD of Given Magnitude or Greater in Conjugated Estrogens Tablets and Placebo Groups
The mean percent changes from baseline in L2 to L4 BMD for women who completed the bone density study are shown with standard error bars by treatment group in Figure 2. Significant differences between each of the Conjugated Estrogens Tablets dosage groups and placebo were found at cycles 6, 13, 19, and 26.
Figure 2. Adjusted Mean (SE) Percent Change From Baseline at Each Cycle in Spine BMD: Subjects Completing in Conjugated Estrogens Tablets Groups and Placebo
The bone turnover markers, serum osteocalcin and urinary N-telopeptide, significantly decreased (p < 0.001) in all active-treatment groups at cycles 6, 13, 19, and 26 compared with the placebo group. Larger mean decreases from baseline were seen with the active groups than with the placebo group. Significant differences from placebo were seen less frequently in urine calcium.
WHI Estrogen-Alone Substudy
The WHI estrogen-alone substudy was stopped early because an increased risk of stroke was observed, and it was deemed that no further information would be obtained regarding the risks and benefits of estrogen alone in predetermined primary endpoints.
Results of the estrogen-alone substudy, which included 10,739 women (average 63 years of age, range 50 to 79; 75.3% White, 15.1% Black, 6.1% Hispanic, 3.6% Other) after an average follow-up of 7.1 years, are presented in Table 5.
Event | Relative Risk Nominal confidence intervals unadjusted for multiple looks and multiple comparisons. ) | CE | Placebo |
Absolute Risk per 10,000 Women-Years | |||
CHD events Results are based on centrally adjudicated data for an average follow-up of 7.1 years. | 0.95 (0.78–1.16) | 54 | 57 |
Non-fatal MI | 0.91 (0.73–1.14) | 40 | 43 |
CHD death | 1.01 (0.71–1.43) | 16 | 16 |
All Stroke | 1.33 (1.05–1.68) | 45 | 33 |
Ischemic stroke | 1.55 (1.19–2.01) | 38 | 25 |
Deep vein thrombosis Not included in "global index." | 1.47 (1.06–2.06) | 23 | 15 |
Pulmonary embolism | 1.37 (0.90–2.07) | 14 | 10 |
Invasive breast cancer | 0.80 (0.62–1.04) | 28 | 34 |
Colorectal cancer Results are based on an average follow-up of 6.8 years. | 1.08 (0.75–1.55) | 17 | 16 |
Hip fracture | 0.65 (0.45–0.94) | 12 | 19 |
Vertebral fractures | 0.64 (0.44–0.93) | 11 | 18 |
Lower arm/wrist fractures | 0.58 (0.47–0.72) | 35 | 59 |
Total fractures | 0.71 (0.64–0.80) | 144 | 197 |
Death due to other causes All deaths, except from breast or colorectal cancer, definite/probable CHD, PE or cerebrovascular disease. | 1.08 (0.88–1.32) | 53 | 50 |
Overall mortality | 1.04 (0.88–1.22) | 79 | 75 |
Global Index A subset of the events was combined in a "global index" defined as the earliest occurrence of CHD events, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other causes. | 1.02 (0.92–1.13) | 206 | 201 |
For those outcomes included in the WHI "global index" that reached statistical significance, the absolute excess risk per 10,000 women-years in the group treated with CE-alone was 12 more strokes while the absolute risk reduction per 10,000 women-years was 7 fewer hip fractures.9 The absolute excess risk of events included in the "global index" was a non-significant 5 events per 10,000 women-years. There was no difference between the groups in terms of all-cause mortality.
No overall difference for primary CHD events (nonfatal MI, silent MI and CHD death) and invasive breast cancer incidence in women receiving CE-alone compared with placebo was reported in final centrally adjudicated results from the estrogen-alone substudy, after an average follow up of 7.1 years. See Table 5.
Centrally adjudicated results for stroke events from the estrogen-alone substudy, after an average follow-up of 7.1 years, reported no significant difference in distribution of stroke subtype or severity, including fatal strokes, in women receiving CE-alone compared to placebo. Estrogen-alone increased the risk for ischemic stroke, and this excess risk was present in all subgroups of women examined.10
Timing of the initiation of estrogen-alone therapy relative to the start of menopause may affect the overall risk benefit profile. The WHI estrogen-alone substudy stratified by age showed in women 50–59 years of age, a non-significant trend toward reduced risk for CHD [hazard ratio (HR) 0.63 (95% CI 0.36–1.09)] and overall mortality [HR 0.71 (95% CI 0.46–1.11)].
WHI Estrogen Plus Progestin Substudy
The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy was stopped early. According to the predefined stopping rule, after an average follow-up of 5.6 years of treatment, the increased risk of invasive breast cancer and cardiovascular events exceeded the specified benefits included in the "global index." The absolute excess risk of events included in the "global index" was 19 per 10,000 women-years.
For those outcomes included in the WHI "global index" that reached statistical significance after 5.6 years of follow-up, the absolute excess risks per 10,000 women-years in the group treated with CE plus MPA were 7 more CHD events, 8 more strokes, 10 more PEs, and 8 more invasive breast cancers, while the absolute risk reductions per 10,000 women-years were 6 fewer colorectal cancers and 5 fewer hip fractures.
Results of the estrogen plus progestin substudy, which included 16,608 women (average 63 years of age, range 50 to 79; 83.9% White, 6.8% Black, 5.4% Hispanic, 3.9% Other) are presented in Table 6. These results reflect centrally adjudicated data after an average follow-up of 5.6 years.
Event | Relative Risk Nominal confidence intervals unadjusted for multiple looks and multiple comparisons. ) | CE/MPA | Placebo |
Absolute Risk per 10,000 Women-Years | |||
CHD events | 1.23 (0.99–1.53) | 41 | 34 |
Non-fatal MI | 1.28 (1.00–1.63) | 31 | 25 |
CHD death | 1.10 (0.70–1.75) | 8 | 8 |
All Strokes | 1.31 (1.03–1.68) | 33 | 25 |
Ischemic stroke | 1.44 (1.09–1.90) | 26 | 18 |
Deep vein thrombosis Not included in "global index." | 1.95 (1.43–2.67) | 26 | 13 |
Pulmonary embolism | 2.13 (1.45–3.11) | 18 | 8 |
Invasive breast cancer Includes metastatic and non-metastatic breast cancer, with the exception of in situ cancer. | 1.24 (1.01–1.54) | 41 | 33 |
Colorectal cancer | 0.61 (0.42–0.87) | 10 | 16 |
Endometrial cancer | 0.81 (0.48–1.36) | 6 | 7 |
Cervical cancer | 1.44 (0.47–4.42) | 2 | 1 |
Hip fracture | 0.67 (0.47–0.96) | 11 | 16 |
Vertebral fractures | 0.65 (0.46–0.92) | 11 | 17 |
Lower arm/wrist fractures | 0.71 (0.59–0.85) | 44 | 62 |
Total fractures | 0.76 (0.69–0.83) | 152 | 199 |
Overall Mortality All deaths, except from breast or colorectal cancer, definite or probable CHD, PE or cerebrovascular disease. | 1.00 (0.83–1.19) | 52 | 52 |
Global Index A subset of the events was combined in a "global index" defined as the earliest occurrence of CHD events, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other causes. | 1.13 (1.02–1.25) | 184 | 165 |
Timing of the initiation of estrogen therapy relative to the start of menopause may affect the overall risk benefit profile. The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy stratified by age showed in women 50–59 years of age, a non-significant trend toward reduced risk for overall mortality [HR 0.69 (95% CI 0.44–1.07)].
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