The WHI estrogen-alone trial enrolled predominantly healthy postmenopausal women in trial to assess the risks and benefits of daily oral CE (0.625 mg)-alone compared to placebo in the prevention of certain chronic diseases. The primary endpoint was the incidence of CHD (defined as nonfatal MI, silent MI and CHD death), with invasive breast cancer as the primary adverse outcome. A "global index" included the earliest occurrence of CHD, invasive breast cancer, stroke, PE, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other cause. This trial did not evaluate the effects of CE- alone on menopausal symptoms.
The WHI estrogen-alone trial was stopped early because an increased risk of stroke was observed, and it was deemed that no further information would be obtained regarding the risks and benefits of estrogen-alone in predetermined primary endpoints. Centrally adjudicated results for stroke events, after an average follow-up of 7.1 years, reported estrogen-alone increased the risk for ischemic stroke compared to placebo, and this excess risk was present in all subgroups of women examined.
No overall difference for primary CHD events (nonfatal MI, silent MI and CHD death) and invasive breast cancer incidence in women receiving CE-alone compared to placebo was reported in final centrally adjudicated results from the estrogen-alone trial, after an average follow-up of 7.1 years.3,4
Results of the estrogen-alone trial, which included 10,739 women (average age of 63 years, range 50 to 79; 75.3% White, 15.1% Black, 6.1% Hispanic, 3.6% Other), after an average follow-up of 7.1 years are presented in Table A.
Table A: Relative Risk and Risk Difference Observed in the WHI Estrogen-Alone Trial at an Average of 7.1 Years of Follow-upa
| Event | Relative Ratio (95% CI)c | Risk Difference (CE vs placebo/10,000 WYs) |
CHD events Non-fatal MI CHD death | 0.94 (0.78-1.14) 0.97 (0.79-1.21) 1.00 (0.77-1.31) | -3 (55 vs 58) -1 (44 vs 45) 0 (29 vs 29) |
| All Strokes | 1.35 (1.07-1.70) | 11 (45 vs 34) |
| Deep vein thrombosisd | 1.48 (1.06-2.07) | 7 (23 vs 15) |
| Pulmonary embolism | 1.35 (0.89-2.05) | 4 (14 vs 10) |
| Invasive breast cancere | 0.79 (0.61-1.02) | -7 (28 vs 35) |
| Colorectal cancer | 1.15 (0.81-1.64) | 2 (17 vs 15) |
| Hip fracture | 0.67 (0.46-0.96) | -6 (13 vs 19) |
| Vertebral fracturesd | 0.64 (0.44-0.93) | -6 (12 vs 18) |
| Total fracturesd | 0.72 (0.64-0.80) | -61 (153 vs 214) |
| Overall mortalityc,f | 1.03 (0.88-1.21) | 3 (80 vs 77) |
| Global Indexg | 1.03 (0.93-1.13) | 4 (208 vs 204) |
a Adapted from 2013 WHI trial (CE n=5,310, placebo n=5,429). WHI publications can be viewed at www.nhlbi.nih.gov/whi.
b Results are based on centrally adjudicated data.
c In the WHI studies, hazard ratios were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models comparing treatment to placebo; however, they are described here as relative risks. Nominal confidence intervals unadjusted for multiple looks and multiple comparisons.
d Not included in “global index.”
e Includes metastatic and non-metastatic breast cancer with the exception of in situ cancer.
f All deaths, except from breast or colorectal cancer, definite or probable CHD, PE or cerebrovascular disease.
g Asubset of the events was combined in a “global index,” defined as the earliest occurrence of CHD events, invasive breast cancer, stroke, PE, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other causes.
Timing of the initiation of estrogen-alone therapy to the start of menopause may affect the overall risk benefit profile. The study results for women 50-59 years old in the WHI estrogen-alone trial are shown in Table B.
Table B: Relative Risk and Risk Difference Observed Among Women 50-59 Years of Age in the WHI Estrogen-Alone Trial at an Average of 7.1 Yearsa,b
| Event | Relative Ratio (95% CI)c | Risk Difference (CE vs placebo/10,000 WYs) |
CHD events Non-fatal MI CHD death | 0.60 (0.35-1.04) 0.55 (0.31-1.00) 0.80 (0.32-2.04) | -11 (17 vs 28) -11 (14 vs 25) -1 (7 vs 8) |
| All Strokes | 0.99 (0.53-1.85) | -1 (16 vs 17) |
| Deep vein thrombosisd | 1.66 (0.75-3.67) | 5 (13 vs 8) |
| Pulmonary embolism | 1.53 (0.63-3.75) | 4 (10 vs 6) |
| Invasive breast cancere | 0.82 (0.50-1.34) | -5 (24 vs 29) |
| Colorectal cancer | 0.71 (0.30-1.67) | -3 (7 vs 10) |
| Hip fracture | 5.01 (0.59-42.91) | 3 (1 vs 3) |
| Vertebral fracturesd | 0.50 (0.17-1.47) | -4 (4 vs 8) |
| Total fracturesd | 0.90 (0.72-1.11) | -16 (133 vs 149) |
| Overall mortalityc,f | 0.70 (0.46-1.09) | -11 (29 vs 40) |
| Global Indexg | 0.84 (0.66-1.07) | -19 (98 vs 117) |
a Adapted from 2013 WHI trial (CE n=1,639, placebo n=1,674). WHI publications can be viewed at www.nhlbi.nih.gov/whi.
b Results are based on centrally adjudicated data.
c In the WHI studies, hazard ratios were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models comparing treatment to placebo; however, they are described here as relative risks. Nominal confidence intervals unadjusted for multiple looks and multiple comparisons.
d Not included in “global index.”
e Includes metastatic and non-metastatic breast cancer with the exception of in situ cancer.
f All deaths, except from breast or colorectal cancer, definite or probable CHD, PE or cerebrovascular disease.
g A subset of the events was combined in a “global index,” defined as the earliest occurrence of CHD events, invasive breast cancer, stroke, PE, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other causes.