Effects on the endometrium
In a randomized, double-blind clinical trial, 358 postmenopausal women, each with an intact uterus, received treatment for up to 36 months. The treatment groups were: progesterone capsules at the dose of 200 mg per day for 12 days per 28-day cycle in combination with conjugated estrogens 0.625 mg per day (n=120); conjugated estrogens 0.625 mg per day only (n=119); or placebo (n=119). The subjects in all three treatment groups were primarily Caucasian women (87 percent or more of each group). The results for the incidence of endometrial hyperplasia in women receiving up to 3 years of treatment are shown in Table 3. A comparison of the progesterone capsules plus conjugated estrogens treatment group to the conjugated estrogens only group showed a significantly lower rate of hyperplasia (6 percent combination product versus 64 percent estrogen alone) in the progesterone capsules plus conjugated estrogens treatment group throughout 36 months of treatment.
TABLE 3. Incidence of Endometrial Hyperplasia in Women Receiving 3 Years of Treatment
Endometrial Diagnosis | Treatment Group |
|
| Conjugated Estrogens 0.625 mg + ProgesteroneCapsules 200 mg (cyclical) | Conjugated Estrogens 0.625 mg (alone) | Placebo |
| Number of patients | % of patients | Number of patients | % of patients | Number of patients | % of patients |
|
| n=117 | n=115 | n=116 |
HYPERPLASIA
a | 7 | 6 | 74 | 64 | 3 | 3 |
Adenocarcinoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Atypical hyperplasia | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Complex hyperplasia | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | 1 | 1 |
Simple hyperplasia | 6 | 5 | 33 | 29 | 1 | 1 |
a Most advanced result to least advanced result:
Adenocarcinoma > atypical hyperplasia > complex hyperplasia > simple hyperplasia
The times to diagnosis of endometrial hyperplasia over 36 months of treatment are shown in Figure 1. This figure illustrates graphically that the proportion of patients with hyperplasia was significantly greater for the conjugated estrogens group (64 percent) compared to the conjugated estrogens plus progesterone capsules group (6 percent).
Figure 1 (Progesterone Capsules 2)
Figure 1. Time to Hyperplasia in Women Receiving up to 36 Months of Treatment
The discontinuation rates due to hyperplasia over the 36 months of treatment are as shown in Table
4. For any degree of hyperplasia, the discontinuation rate for patients who received conjugated estrogens plus progesterone capsules was similar to that of the placebo only group, while the discontinuation rate for patients who received conjugated estrogens alone was significantly higher. Women who permanently discontinued treatment due to hyperplasia were similar in demographics to the overall study population.
TABLE 4. Discontinuation Rate Due to Hyperplasia Over 36 Months of Treatment
Most Advanced Biopsy Result Through 36 Months of Treatment | Treatment Group |
|
| Conjugated Estrogens + ProgesteroneCapsules (cyclical) | Conjugated Estrogens (alone) | Placebo |
| n=120 | n=119 | n=119 |
| Number of patients | % of patients | Number of patients | % of patients | Number of patients | % of patients |
Adenocarcinoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Atypical hyperplasia | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Complex hyperplasia | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 1 | 1 |
Simple hyperplasia | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Effects on secondary amenorrhea
In a single-center, randomized, double-blind clinical study that included premenopausal women with secondary amenorrhea for at least 90 days, administration of 10 days of progesterone capsules therapy resulted in 80 percent of women experiencing withdrawal bleeding within 7 days of the last dose of progesterone capsules, 300 mg per day (n=20), compared to 10 percent of women experiencing withdrawal bleeding in the placebo group (n=21).
In a multicenter, parallel-group, open label, postmarketing dosing study that included premenopausal women with secondary amenorrhea for at least 90 days, administration of 10 days of progesterone capsules during two 28-day treatment cycles, 300 mg per day (n=107) or 400 mg per day (n=99), resulted in 73.8 percent and 76.8 percent of women, respectively, experiencing withdrawal bleeding.
The rate of secretory transformation was evaluated in a multicenter, randomized, double-blind clinical study in estrogen-primed postmenopausal women. Progesterone capsules administered orally for 10 days at 400 mg per day (n=22) induced complete secretory changes in the endometrium in 45 percent of women compared to 0 percent in the placebo group (n=23).
A second multicenter, parallel-group, open label postmarketing dosing study in premenopausal women with secondary amenorrhea for at least 90 days also evaluated the rate of secretory transformation. All subjects received daily oral conjugated estrogens over 3 consecutive 28-day treatment cycles and progesterone capsules, 300 mg per day (n=107) or 400 mg per day (n=99) for 10 days of each treatment cycle. The rate of complete secretory transformation was 21.5 percent and 28.3 percent, respectively.
Women’s Health Initiative Studies
The Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) enrolled approximately 27,000 predominantly healthy postmenopausal women in two substudies to assess the risks and benefits of daily oral conjugated estrogens (CE) [0.625 mg]-alone or in combination with medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) [2.5 mg] compared to placebo in the prevention of certain chronic diseases. The primary endpoint was the incidence of coronary heart disease [(CHD) defined as nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), silent MI and CHD death], with invasive breast cancer as the primary adverse outcome. A “global index” included the earliest occurrence of CHD, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism (PE), endometrial cancer (only in the CE plus MPA substudy), colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other cause. These sub studies did not evaluate the effects of CE-alone or CE plus MPA on menopausal symptoms.
WHI Estrogen Plus Progestin Substudy
The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy was stopped early. According to the predefined stopping rule, after an average follow-up of 5.6 years of treatment, the increased risk of breast cancer and cardiovascular events exceeded the specified benefits included in the “global index.” The absolute excess risk of events in the “global index” was 19 per 10,000 women-years.
For those outcomes included in the WHI “global index” that reached statistical significance after 5.6 years of follow-up, the absolute excess risks per 10,000 women-years in the group treated with CE plus MPA were 7 more CHD events, 8 more strokes, 10 more PEs and 8 more invasive breast cancers, while the absolute risk reductions per 10,000 women-years were 6 fewer colorectal cancers and 5 fewer hip fractures.
Results of the estrogen plus progestin substudy, which included 16,608 women (average 63 years of age, range 50 to 79; 83.9 percent White, 6.8 percent Black, 5.4 percent Hispanic, 3.9 percent Other) are presented in Table 5. These results reflect centrally adjudicated data after an average follow-up of 5.6 years.
TABLE 5. Relative and Absolute Risk Seen in the Estrogen Plus Progestin Substudy of WHI at an Average of 5.6 Years
a, b
Event | Relative Risk CE/MPA versus Placebo
(95% nCI
c)
| CE/MPA
n = 8,506
| Placebo
n = 8,102
|
Absolute Risk per
10,000 Women-Years
|
CHD events Non-fatal MI
CHD death
| 1.23 (0.99 to 1.53)
1.28 (1 to 1.63)
1.10 (0.70 to 1.75)
| 41
31
8
| 34
25 8 |
All stroke | 1.31 (1.03 to 1.88) | 33 | 25 |
Ischemic stroke | 1.44 (1.09 to 1.90) | 26 | 18 |
Deep vein thrombosis
d | 1.95 (1.43 to 2.67) | 26 | 13 |
Pulmonary embolism | 2.13 (1.45 to 3.11) | 18 | 8 |
Invasive breast cancer
e | 1.24 (1.01 to 1.54) | 41 | 33 |
Colorectal cancer | 0.61 (0.42 to 0.87) | 10 | 16 |
Endometrial cancer
d | 0.81 (0.48 to 1.36) | 6 | 7 |
Cervical cancer
d | 1.44 (0.47 to 4.42) | 2 | 1 |
Hip fracture | 0.67 (0.47 to 0.96) | 11 | 16 |
Vertebral fractures
d | 0.65 (0.46 to 0.92) | 11 | 17 |
Lower arm/wrist fractures
d | 0.71 (0.59 to 0.85) | 44 | 62 |
Total fractures
d | 0.76 (0.69 to 0.83) | 152 | 199 |
Overall mortality
f | 1 (0.83 to 1.19) | 52 | 52 |
Global Index
g | 1.13 (1.02 to 1.25) | 184 | 165 |
a Adapted from numerous WHI publications. WHI publications can be viewed at www.nhlbi.nih.gov/whi.
b Results are based on centrally adjudicated data.
c Nominal confidence intervals unadjusted for multiple looks and multiple comparisons.
d Not included in Global Index.
e Includes metastatic and non-metastatic breast cancer with the exception of
in situ breast cancer.
f All deaths, except from breast or colorectal cancer, definite or probable CHD, PE or cerebrovascular disease.
g A subset of the events was combined in a “global index” defined as the earliest occurrence of CHD events, invasive breast cancer, stroke, pulmonary embolism, endometrial cancer, colorectal cancer, hip fracture, or death due to other causes.
Timing of the initiation of estrogen plus progestin therapy relative to the start of menopause may affect the overall risk benefit profile. The WHI estrogen plus progestin substudy stratified for age showed in women 50 to 59 years of age a non-significant trend toward reducing risk of overall mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.69 (95 percent CI, 0.44 to 1.07)].
Women’s Health Initiative Memory Study
The estrogen plus progestin Women’s Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS), an ancillary study of WHI, enrolled 4,532 predominantly healthy postmenopausal women 65 years of age and older (47 percent were 65 to 69 years of age; 35 percent were 70 to 74 years of age; and 18 percent were 75 years of age and older) to evaluate the effects of daily CE (0.625 mg) plus MPA (2.5 mg) on the incidence of probable dementia (primary outcome) compared to placebo.
After an average follow-up of 4 years, the relative risk of probable dementia for CE plus MPA versus placebo was 2.05 (95 percent CI, 1.21 to 3.48). The absolute risk of probable dementia for CE plus MPA versus placebo was 45 versus 22 per 10,000 women-years. Probable dementia as defined in this study included Alzheimer’s disease (AD), vascular dementia (VaD) and mixed type (having features of both AD and VaD). The most common classification of probable dementia in the treatment group and the placebo group was AD. Since the ancillary study was conducted in women 65 to 79 years of age, it is unknown whether these findings apply to younger postmenopausal women (see
WARNINGS, Probable dementia and
PRECAUTIONS, Geriatric Use).